Our live model gives Panama a 0.0% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup and a 0.0% chance of reaching the Round of 32, currently projected to finish 4th in Group L. The figures below update continuously as results come in.

Open the live interactive forecast →

How far they go

Reach the Round of 320.0%

Round of 160.0%

Quarter-final0.0%

Semi-final0.0%

Final0.0%

Champion0.0%

Group L standings

Team	Proj	1st	2nd	3rd	Adv
England	6.6	86%	14%	<1%	100%
Croatia	5.0	9.4%	49%	41%	97%
Ghana	4.8	4.3%	37%	59%	100%
Panama	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected points and finish odds come from a 100,000-run Monte-Carlo simulation that blends Elo, FIFA ranking and squad value with de-vigged market odds, under FIFA's tiebreakers. How it works →