Title odds & round-by-round probabilities
Click a column header to sort. Hover or tap a team to trace it through the bracket. Group finish = chance to place 1st/2nd/3rd in the group; Reaches = chance to reach each knockout stage.
| Team | Grp | Elo | Group finish | Reaches | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win | |||
Groups
Live standings with the chance to finish 1st/2nd/3rd and to advance to the knockout stage (top 2, or one of the 8 best third-placed teams).
Matches
Completed results and model probabilities for upcoming group games. Knockout fixtures appear in the Bracket tab.
Knockout bracket
Each match shows the two teams most likely to play in it — their chance to reach the match, and (dimmed) their chance to win it if they do. Pick a team above to trace its path to the title. Or run a what-if: click a team inside a match to recompute every probability assuming they win that game — stack several to explore a scenario.