Title odds & round-by-round probabilities
Click on a team to trace it through the bracket.
Swipe sideways to see all rounds →
| Team | Grp | Elo | Group finish | Reaches | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2nd | 3rd | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Win | |||
Groups
Live projected standings with the chance to finish 1st/2nd/3rd and to advance to the knockout stage (top 2, or one of the 8 best third-placed teams). Select specific results on the Matches tab to see how group and knockout odds change, or click on a team below to trace its potential paths on the Bracket tab.
Matches
Pick 1 (home) / X (draw) / 2 (away) under any upcoming game and every group and bracket probability recomputes. Can be combined with bracket picks and team tracking too, in the Bracket tab.
Knockout bracket
This is the single most likely bracket: each Round-of-32 slot shows the team likeliest to fill it. Track a team (above) to trace its most likely route and the opponents it would face. Click on a team (below) to set it in that slot, recomputing all probabilities live. Combine with other 'what-if' selections (click both teams to pin a matchup, or the 🏆 to crown a champion), here and in the matches tab, and with tracking. (very unlikely scenarios not always available)
The left number is each team's chance to reach that match; the right one is its chance to win that specific matchup.
Qualification race
Who's through, who's out, and what every team still needs to reach the Round of 32, including through the eight best third-placed teams. Probabilities update live as results come in. Click a team to track its route across the site.